Bridging the gap between short-term forecasting and long-term scenario “models”, the UK Transport Carbon Model (UKTCM) is a strategic transport, energy, emissions and environmental impacts model, covering a range of transport-energy-environment issues from socio-economic and policy influences on energy demand reduction through to lifecycle carbon emissions and external costs.
Developed partly under the auspices of the UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC) the UKTCM can be used to develop transport policy scenarios that explore the full range of technological, fiscal, regulatory and behavioural change policy interventions to meet UK climate change and energy security goals.
Using the Model
To use the model for research purposes, please contact Christian Brand at the Environmental Change Institute. Due to its size (the complete suite of modelling databases uses about 500MB of storage space) the model can only be made available by request. Make sure you have a license for Microsoft Access 2007.
Modelling transport energy demand: a socio-technical approach, Anable, J, Brand, C, Tran, M and Eyre, N, Energy Policy, 41, 125-138. Special Issue on Modeling Transport (Energy) Demand and Policies
The UK Transport Carbon Model: an integrated life cycle approach to explore low carbon futures, Brand, C, Tran, M and Anable, J, Energy Policy, 41, 107-124. Special Issue on Modeling Transport (Energy) Demand and Policies
Accelerating the transformation to a low carbon passenger transport system: the role of car purchase taxes, feebates, road taxes and scrappage incentives in the UK, Brand, C, Anable, J and Tran, M, Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 49, 132-148.
Modeling the uptake of plug-in vehicles in a heterogeneous car market using a consumer segmentation approach. Brand, C., Cluzel, C., Anable, J. (2017) Transportation Research Part A: Policy & Practice 97, 121-136.