The positive experience from the rapid deployment of wind and solar PV, and attendant cost reductions lends credence to the levels of optimism for electric vehicle deployment. However, some commentators are sceptical whether current UK policy is sufficient to meet these aspirations, and will instead lead to higher than necessary overall costs for the transition to an electric vehicle fleet.
The overall picture for EV deployment is characterised by two key features: the high level of ambition for the future both globally and at the UK level, and the wide ranges for projected EV deployment over the coming decades. Although many scenarios would require rapid rates of EV deployment over the coming decades, it is clear that other low carbon technologies, such as wind and solar power, have achieved remarkable levels of growth and cost reduction in recent years – far exceeding expectations from some commentators about technological maturity, reliability, supply chain capacity and opportunities for cost reductions.
This project will adopt a case study approach to compare the projected EV deployment rates with the deployment rates of low carbon power generation technologies. It will explore what lessons can be learnt from the evolution of wind and solar deployment in decarbonisation scenarios and actual deployment levels for these technologies. It will also explore the extent these lessons are useful in assessing the range of EV deployment in decarbonisation scenarios and informing policy.
Further details can be found in the scoping note below:UKERC TPA EV Rollout Scoping note v1.0.pdf