This Working Paper is an output to the UKERC-funded project 'Carbon Capture and Storage: Realising the Potential?'; a project that aims to identify and explore some of the key uncertainties that might have a material impact on if and when large-scale CCS is deployed in the UK.
In particular, this paper proposes a number of plausible pathways for CCS progress (or lack of progress) until 2030 and identifies key ‘branching points’ where a particular trajectory for CCS development may be determined as different pathways diverge from each other. The effectiveness of different criteria to determine which pathway CCS development is following can then be assessed.